<setup speculation>Judging from Nuke's report, I'm under the impression that this is an F11 game (link provided for those who don't know what F11 is). I wouldn't put it past Alice if it was. What we can expect from the rest of this game is a night action stalemate until Scum hits doctor or we lynch the roleblocker. The other possibility is that Scum intentionally threw away the nightkill to produce this assumption, but it's unlikely.</setup speculation>
I couldn't sleep, and this is exactly what I was thinking about. I'm a useless role unless I can find the role blocker. Until then, I just get blocked every night.
This also means two things - either the mafia won't care to get me lynched during the day, since I'm effectively useless... or they want me lynched so they can try and block the doctor.
@Serp - no, I don't think it's possible that I was targeted by the night kill. And in fact, I don't think I suggested I was. I simply stated that it was awesome that the doc saved somebody.
By the way, the doc saving somebody means that our doc knows somebody is else is town. Or... it means that mafia never sent in a night kill, which is more than a little unlikely.
Also, the vote on Affinity isn't out of nowhere. I mention in the long post from yesterday that I'm suspicious of him.
@affinity - Again, you're doing it again. My play is reckless, I'll admit that. How does that discredit myself? If anything, I'm willing to put myself on the line for the sake of the town. Recklessness is not a scum tell, it's an idiot tell. And I'll be the first to admit I'm an idiot when it comes to mafia sometimes.
You raised some original points? This will need to be checked in the PBPA.
I thought OMGUS was more of "You voted me, so I'm voting you" type thing.
I'm going to state this much - lynching me is still a bad idea. And I'll tell you why - at the very least, I'm holding the role blocker off of the doc. That's not much of a merit, but it's something. I'm also pissed that there was an RB. There is nothing beneficial in me claiming that I was role blocked last night, because that makes me more suspicious and I know it. The best claim I can say is that I got scum results on X, watch us lynch X today, and then go down on day three. That is the best play for me if I am mafia.
Another point - Assume that I am lying (I'm not, but let's assume). That means that the real cop knows I'm lying. This means that he will continue to vote for me, because he knows it. But he can't out and right say that he is cop. He would not bother to waste an investigation on me (I don't think small player games like this have more than one cop ever). This means he would have investigated someone else.
The cop would know the following
Donut - Town
NF - Scum
(Person Investigated) - Town/Scum.
Himself - Town
That's 4 things, out of 11.
Now, assuming that he knows this... he can get two more roles by asking the doc to say who he targeted. This would clear two more people, theoretically.
So that's 6 out of 11. That leaves 5 people.
At that point, the following occurs - We lynch me (since in this hypothetical I'm scum) Assume two scum left in those 5.
Doc gets wacked, cop gets blocked. That's 9 people alive, of which 5 are unknown. 4 however, are completely clear.
...
I think I just proved to myself that in this hypothetical, it would be unwise for the real cop to claim. So... I don't know what I just proved but there's some math and thought for you.
I'm going back to sleep... I'm tired.