I'd normally wait for others before posting my own thoughts but I feel like I'm suspected / looked at funny enough to warrant going first-ish.
I'm giving BBM a break until further notice. I think it's less likely that Serela would engage in fluffy nothing-talk when his scumbuddy was involved (at the receiving end of VM's arguments), and there's his early Serela vote too. welp thanks
It's tempting to think that Shadoweh is Serela's husbando, but then I don't get her response to her wagon
here. If she's town, she's concerned over a possible wagon on her and is trying to subdue it in a very derptown-like way (addressing the strength of the wagon). If she's scum... what? I don't know, it seems weird if that's the case. No reason to fret over your wagon like that when there's another better-off wagon and it's your whiteflag'd scumbuddy. There's also this:
Re: VT claim stuff, it's possible Serela got tired of claiming something hard, his fakeclaims are sometimes so terrible they get him lynched, but I think I'd at least pressure him to claim cop to see if there is one in this setup. (Or roleclop I guess? A Mafia cop doesn't make much sense and he'd be able to sound excited about being it again.)
So yeah I don't think he'd claim vanilla is what I'm saying. This is awkward because I'm not going to vote myself.
The buddy talk is annoying because Serela isn't going to flip green + Day 1 buddies lewl. I'm annoyed that Serela didn't make a last reads post so I could at least try to push a Raitaki Wonder Wagon.
To be frank I don't think a Serelabuddy at that stage was likely to still have fighting spirit especially since Serela himself had skipped the end of the day entirely. Instead I see it much more likely that Shadoweh actually thought this was a wrong lynch.
To compare to GHW, Shadoweh's reasons for buddying Serela then had no logical basis and were an obvious link when the latter flipped. Here... not so much. I can see step by step why Shadoweh would have thought to oppose the Serela wagon as town in this game. I also don't see reason to suspect the rest of her play as opposed to plenty of others - dropping Val, for example, was completely logical
for the reasons she stated herself, and it's something that crossed my mind as well.
Reading back, I don't get Dan's change of opinion on Serela.
The way in which he says it makes it seem like
his posts are what made the opinion, not the time gap or whatever else (lurking [and the timing of it] was the primary factor in yesterday's lynch and iirc this is what VM thought changed Dan's mind). Basically it looked like he responded on impulse to the same thing in two different ways.
(the first way) Doesn't even matter that Serela flipped scum - inconsistent impulse-based reads cast doubt on their owner's honesty.
Add to that that I disagree with his case on BBM after
BBM's response. A townie may very well respond to an accusation that way and it's premature judgement to declare it scummy in a snap. Not that this isn't par for the course with Dan, but it's certainly not helping my opinion right now considering it's the only substantiated opinion from him during D1.
1. ActionDan
3. Dormio
6. Raitaki
9. Affinity
12. Serious Bananas
This is THE IFFY LIST currently. I want to give the rest of these folks a look. Except for Raitaki who needs to exist. I have very faint Angel Beats vibes from Affinity (what the fuck) but with the townreads others are throwing at him I'd rather not think about it too hard (Conq help). Maybe drop him from the list then, I don't know.
I think Val will be easier to read over time. I'm still not so sure. I don't feel that it's pressing.
##Kill ActionDan might change after I get a read on the others.
