After repeatedly failing to not mess up scoring in EoSD, I got bored, so.
My EoSD Extra Likelyhood ChartChances of not messing up the first set of fairies: 20%.
Chances of not messing up the next three sets of fairies: 80%.
Chances of not messing up Silent Selene: 50%.
Chances of not messing up the other two cards: 70%.
Chances of not messing up somewhere in the rest of the pre-Flan spam: 40%.
Chances of not messing up Flandre: 20% (being generous).
* Sapz whips out calculator
0.00448
<_<
And there I was, a few months ago, thinking I'd
mastered EoSD Extra. Assuming that's right, I have slightly less than a one in two hundred chance of getting a good scoring run. ;____;