Here's my radio message, with the link to the song I forget NeoSerela.
I thought for sure I would be next, so I spent a few hours making sure you knew everything I had to say. I'm surprised that Colt of all people was the NK.
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Scum interpretations
My opinions on the Kilga flip ? Scum is trying to convince us that they knew Hourai was scum. I doubt it. Schezo?s exchange with Hourai seemed to make it clear that Schezo had no idea what Hourai?s ability was. If either Huh What or Bard knew he was scum, then they were bussing him. But so far, both Huh What and Schezo have tried to convince us that scum knew Hourai?s alignment, which makes me suspicious. Furthermore, they had no reason to bus him ? he would have probably been confirmed town the very next day. One vote from either Bard or Huh What would have made you Conq.?s target, and then Hourai would have been saved for later.
Now the weird part about Huh What?s theory is that it would make both him and Bard look worse if they were bussing Hourai. I try to avoid talking about Huh What because he is one of the players that defends me. However, in retrospect that could be that if he?s scum, he would know with certainty that I am town. While Hourai did not have any exchanges with Bard, he did have exchanges with Huh What. These weren?t pleasant. However, running on the theory that Hourai was acting alone, it could be due to anger at Huh What or a ploy.
It occurs to me that Edible could have given us Schezo and faked his test. It also occurs to me that Huh What could be lying about his ability - he is a literal radio spy after all. If we can get Bardiche to tell us about his ability tomorrow, then we have a much better chance of figuring out if he is the liar. It is essential for Bard to claim, as if he lies it is our best chance of catching him. Huh What?s and Edible?s roles seem too well thought out to verify unfortunately. Also unfortunately we could not do this for Kilga, who we had no way of considering since he claimed vanilla townie like Schezo.
We need Bard, Huh what, and Edible to talk about all the players tomorrow. We were so wrapped up in Edible?s five that we didn?t cover anyone outside the list. Scum telling us about the other players is too valuable an opportunity to ignore.
Bard did a lot of things that were strange ? supporting Dormio taking away Shadoweh?s vig kill before even knowing it could be returned, wanting Dormio not to return it, claiming a night kill but avoiding any claim to vig powers (once again we just filled in the part about being a vig for him), doing exactly what he said he would do if he?s scum ? there?s a mountain of reasons I wanted his head. If (and only if) scum actually did have a vig in Schezo, then Bard could very easily be scum. Unfortunately, I don?t believe Schezo?s hit man ability means an extra kill ? rather, Schezo could break Huh What?s claimed shield. But if he doesn?t claim tomorrow, I will try to hang him. I want to see if I can catch him in a lie. I do consider the fact that he originally thought traitor was a player that scum didn?t know about can work both for and against him ?
See, a problem with Huh What is that he started with the assumption that scum knew who the traitor was. If scum didn?t know who the traitor was, they might start their arguments by talking about how he was a traitor. However, it could also be Huh What simply hoping we wouldn?t consider the possibility that scum didn?t know Hourai. Bard?s original view, interestingly, makes him look worse than he had to. He looked great if scum knew Hourai.
If Bard is scum, he is hurling the fact in our faces so hard that we simply won?t be able to believe it. I don?t mind believing things at face value though.
If Edible is scum, then he is very smart scum. He knowingly sacrificed a weaker scum (Schezo) who said, side by side, that he was vanilla town and that we shouldn?t trust Edible. It?s brilliant and it could win the game. I can?t get any negative read on him either. The only thing I know for certain is that he wanted us to kill Schezo. He was on Kilga?s case for most the day too. I don?t really trust anyone completely in this game, but Edible hasn?t done anything clearly scummy. He?s also only been here for one day.
There is a very good chance Zak is scum. If he were not scum, I can?t imagine the mod wouldn?t have mod killed him yet. He hasn?t posted for nearly 100 hours.
Radio Strategy
Thanks to your radios, if we can get the 3rd scum we can win. If we can get him tomorrow we can win for certain.
Swapping the radio takes up a night action. As a result, scum cannot swap a radio and do a NK in theory. However, scum could choose not to NK at all. So once we have the third scum down, we simply have to no lynch over and over again until scum is force to NK, and have two players a night swap the radios with two other players, which will give us two players that are not scum a night. Even if one of them gets NK?d, we can still get at least one additional confirmed town for each NK, giving us two town at four person Lylo and guaranteeing the identity of the final scum at three person Lylo.
If we are unable to catch the third scum until day 4 and are in four-person LyLo, we should not lynch anyone, but instead use the time to get at least one confirmed town. With 6 people remaining, victory is assured. With four, we can get at least one confirmed town in 3 person LyLo, so I suggest we do confirm a town by skipping the lynch that day and using the radio swap trick. This strategy will make 3 person LyLo easier than entering blind or attempting 4 person LyLo.
Final Notes
I want to apologize. I love mystery novels, and I had too much free time over Spring Break. I think I love this game a little too much, and I doubt I should play another round.
Here is my favorite song, I'll probably post it when I get NK'd/lynched:
Border of LifeThank you,
capt. h
