Okay, so everyone is well aware the only lynch I support today is Conqueror right? Okay? Okay. All the cases I'm making today are on the basis that Conqueror is going to flip scum at the end of the day. If he doesn't flip scum then not only am I going to blow a gasket, we will lose because I'm an obvious lynch.
Now then. I've had time to parse this new information and I've come to some conclusions.
Edible is town. At this point in the game faking a bulletproof would be less important then killing me or another town and lynching a town to win today.
Schezo is town. There was already a freight train of a case against Hourai. Schezo never needed to make up a mod-approved pm lying about negative effects to get him lynched. Especially since it would guarentee he gets murdered the next day.
Adding to my cases that both of them are town, I don't think Conqueror got the memo I was out for his blood.
Dormio is town. I still believe Dormio is a cop. What's more, Dormio is the only name Conqueror ever makes a real case and votes for, ever. Everything else is bandwagon hopping. I also don't get the same vibe everyone else does from his posts.
Doll is town. This is entirely based on his reactions to what we did to him, not his townie cred. I wonder how Bard would feel about his scum team winning because trying to bus a scum Doll went horribly wrong?
Well we're out of players aren't we? If I believe all of these things, combined with myself being town and Conqueror
being scum, there's only one conclusion left.
Iced Fairy is scum. You know how I said I wouldn't do that UncertainKitten text wall thing again? I lied. brackets are my running commentary. POST ANALYSIS GO!
Post #214 VOTE PESCOOOO! Says Edible looks bad too. Says Bardiche is kind of okay but if Pesco flips scum(
haha) Bardiche is high on the list. (
so when Pesco flipped town Bard would look good?) Says Schezo is bad, Doll is a lurker, Conqueror is.. a little too soft but at least has big posts and some town had to have fell for PX. Hanged Hourai could be scum. Dormio and Zak give townie vibes but could be lurkers. Shadoweh is just townie vibes. (
I think the only thing everyone agreed on all game is how obvtown I am. But besides me his best reviews are Conqueror and Bardiche.)
Post #227 More on how Dormio and Zak are lurkey and implying they could be lurkscum. Also how Schezo tunneling me is bad because I'm so obvtown.
Post #237 Anti-claim to dayvigging. (
I guess most of the current players didn't read those games but the unlimited dayvig posts always amused me.) Doesn't like my accusation of liars everywhere but is happy to keep VOTING PESCOOOOOO!
Post #253 New info and vote is going... to stay on VOTE PESCOOOO! Somehow Pesco misrepped everyone's roleclaim except his own (
Which considering the switch isn't surprising) and he wants an explanation from Bardiche. But it's totally not autoscummy behaviour. Says my misrep of Hourai's incorrect roleclaim doesn't make me look good. (Bardiche backs up this idea in post #258)
Post #265 Polite conversation with Bardiche. Confirms again that the incorrect roleclaim plays out. Is still VOTING PESCOOOOO! Still doesn't like Schezo's hunting though sees some of his points on me. (
Cheerleading Bardiche's case?) Doesn't like Dormio.
Post #274 Says Schezo's case is correct but the bulk of his case is misrep. (
his entire case on me was the anon-voting and the bad role guessing shenanigans. More cheerleading Bardiche's case?) Agrees with Bard being handwavey. Threatens Conqueror with post or else. No vote change.
It's not one of Iced's posts but in
#284 Conqueror is all "I have no opinion on you bla bla."
Post #289 Hey Shadoweh, why aren't you VOTING PESCOOOO!? (<_<) The role talks don't change anything! (
see post #284 for what this reminds me of.) Gives Conqueror some tips and says he prefers his active lurking to Dormio's vote and run. (
NO.) As for his vote, it's going... to stay on VOTING PESCOOOO! Is cut by more things to call Dormio out on.
Post #292 THERE IS NOTHING WRONG WITH HOURAI'S INCORRECT ROLECLAIM SHADOWEH GOD STOP POINTING IT OUT. (
Hourai corrects his roleclaim in the next post.)
Post #318 KITTEN4U IS DEAD. (
Jerk!) VOTE PESCOOOO! Also trying to talk to Kitten4U's ghost is scummy. Killing Doll is cool. Dormio is bad. Agrees with Zak but we have better things to do then lynch Bard today.
Post #321 Figured Schezo was derp town because he's so emotional (
Please read his past opinions on Schezo to see why I think this contradicts everything he's said so far.) Conqueror lurking is bad and Pesco isn't the lead lynch. (
He was at the time.)
Post #334 Why aren't you VOTING PESCO? ;-; Oh well let's lynch Doll and Schezo. Says he will change vote to Doll and in #339 reconfirms he'll happily switch back to the Pesco wagon if we go with that.
Post #352 Current thoughts: PESCO IS SCUM. DOWN WITH MINDHAX. Bardiche is likely scumbuddy! (
he doesn't really make a case on Bardiche being scummy on his own merits, just as if Pesco = scum then Bardiche = scum.) Third scum, hopes it's Doll but Dormio is more likely over Conqueror. #354 is just him trying to get more info out of me. He finally changes from Pesco to Doll in #361.
This marks the Super Anonymous Votecount Bardiche Trainwreck.
Post #405 I believe you Hourai.
Post #433 HANGED HOURAI WTF. You were the nail in Schezo's coffin! (
except that part where he waffled PESCO.) Also calls out Edible and Dormio! Makes a tiny forgettable callout to Conqueror in comparison.
Post #437 Comments that Bardiche must have wanted everyone to investigate Edible to investigate Bardiche. (
This point is WiFoM since I've said the same thing and even why Bard would want it.) Says Edible convinced him to unvote Hourai despite that Edible doesn't do any scumhunting. Adds in #438 that he's "confused" by how Edible doesn't need to scumhunt cause he's town. I spout some Zen nonsense and get him to post his scum choices, which are Hourai and Dormio. (
On a reread this is suspicious since he just unvoted Hourai and he just said he thinks Edible is acting weird.)
Post #446 Didn't it say somewhere there are three scum?! (
Maybe he saw it in the quicktopic. :V)
Post #448 Oh that's a good catch about Conqueror, Edible. Conqueror does kinda say nothing about anyone.Conqueror makes a huge post
#455 and Votes Dormio, surprise. His opinion on Iced Fairy is "Looks better then the three above, keeping an eye on you."
Post #466Dormio is disapoint and his points on Conqueror apply more to him. Conqueror made a 'better post' and a comment on Iced which he answers. Premature analysis says Dormio is worse then Conqueror in the Dormio vs Conqueror argument.
Post #486Even if Hourai is telling the truth he's scum and doctors blocking info is extra great! Dislikes Edible saying the virus is bad.
Post #494The theory on how if Hourai flips town Edible must be scum. Says all Edible's posts today have been filler. (
see post #448) It's as if Edible already knows Hourai will flip town!
Post #496 Tells Hourai his actions are 100% scum and Edible is 'funny' and compares them to Pesco acting 100% scum and Bardiche acting 'funny'. (
X = 1 doesn't prove Y = 2!) But Hourai can't get a pass because it's not lylow so Iced can't be stupid. (
Edible confirms in #498 that he received my PM.) States in #500 that his confusion at Edible is how quickly Edible dismissed a case he doesn't believe in. Posts the case on Hourai in #504 that was pretty obvious by this point.
Post #526 His last post of Day 3. Scum order is Conqueror, Dormio, Edible, Schezo. Calls out Conqueror to make an amazing post Day 4 (
But we know that's not really going to be nessicary, right?)
OH GOD IT'S DAY 4 AND HOURAI FLIPPED TOWN WTF.
Post #582 Wants to promote me even after my crash and burn Day 3. Is going to be nice and sit back to let everyone fight it out. Corrects himself in #586 after I mention that the blessing is basically a death sentence and promotes Doll. Answers Conqueror's last post about being passive because he wants to see people post without scumhunting from him or me. In #592 he asks me to explain why I'm shouting CONQUEROR IS SCUM to the heavens. In #601 he asks me to clarify when I found out about Conqueror and what the exact wording of my power is.
Post #607OMFG EDIBLE IS SCUM. HERE ARE SOME MISREPS ABOUT HOW EDIBLE IS SCUM. (
Hint, anyone that believed Bardiche thought the vote was random and didn't use the time he got from stalling to make sure Pesco was going to get lynched is wr-ong.) Votes for Edible despite being able to agree that Conqueror is his 100% scum partner. He does an excellent job of explaining why I'm still town despite my horrible Day 3 play, but tries to use it as an excuse why Edible coming after me makes him scum. (
Of course since he knows I'm town it's not hard for him to understand why I messed up.)
tl;dr please see here.Holy crap why didn't I notice this before. You seriously have to read Iced Fairy, Bardiche and Conqueror in parallels to understand. Don't look at the exact words, look at the intent. No matter how many times Iced accuses either of those two his tone is less incriminating of them then any other player he mentions. He backs up Bardiche's claims Day 2 and spends Day 3 on a parallel line of lynching Dormio thought. He can't decide if he wants to be on the Hourai wagon or off which
since he knows it's town is completely understandable. Both him and Conqueror failed to throw in a hammer. Then he's all about lynching
the bulletproof that isn't the confirmed scum. But this last part is the most damning and I didn't look into it above because
I want you to read it.He's claiming his powers were roleblocked Night 2 and Night 3.
Why would a scum roleblocker block him two nights in a row when he didn't claim to be roleblocked Day 3 and if he was roleblocked why didn't he mention it earlier? His claim amounts to 'I was blocked so I did whatever to this guy.' It's a free reign to make up anything. I'm so confident in this I could vote him over Conqueror, but thanks to Hourai I don't need to. We can lynch Conqueror today and Doll can cop Iced Fairy tomorrow.
PS: For Conqueror. My case on you is that you gave me a backwards posting restriction and I will hang you forever for it. Period. Your day effect could be called Fuzzy Hug Kittens and I wouldn't have seen past 'Post Restriction'.