@BT:
However, consider scum's motivation for posting ~*~suspicions~*~. The problem here is that he chose to combine [reading me as town] and [churning out posts that read like :good scumhunting:]. Those posts didn't match the fact that he was, in fact, town-reading me.
You're right that scum post suspicions to look as if they are doing something. But NNR is a special case because he was certainly not making any such pretences about his Zakeri vote, which counters your point about him trying to look as if he's really scumhunting, because that's a rather easily attackable thing. Again I have to say, this incongruence between his scumhunting and his vote was not at all needed and does not lead to the impression you suggest.
Same thing I told Affinity. His strong start raises the likelihood of him being town. The risky link to rawr early on raises the likelihood of him being town. Killing Dan despite PX's shaky play raises the likelihood of him being town.
I don't agree with any of these. How is the link to rawr 'risky'', when scum could link to town or scum with impunity? And how does the NK thing work if scum can kill anyone they want? Yes a strong start is good at all, but it petered out till today without redemption so how does it count?
In general, I find your ideas of what scum/town are likely to do and not questionable, You are asking far too much of people to explain a reasonable vote, expressing your view of what is by itself WIFOM without flipping it around. In fact I don't know why you are complaining about people not seeing the bigger picture regarding PX when PX himself is merely picking up random nitpicks in his crusade against NNR.
===
PX latest post against NNR is not impressive, given that it is mostly a simplification. Him defined by only his drifting case on NNR, stretched far beyond feasibility over a period of two days through a variety of reasons, is reason enough to cement my vote on him. I would also like him to answer my question
here, because he seems prone to these sorts of conclusion-jumping
Upon reading Dorian's posts and his switch to PX today I find his sudden waving off of NNR rather jarring and unbelievable. Compare
this post and
this, and there is a great lacuna as to where all his issues with NNR went. Especially when he says that he 'understood what he felt like to be under such pressure', but why didn't he come to this understanding in day one? Would like Dorian to explain. Granted I don't see scum really doing this unless NNR is scum as well (which I don't believe), but it does seem questionable.
Also Shadoweh had might as well be in an echo chamber with those reads. Whatever she's saying I can't see as having much impression on the movement of things here. Two exchanges with Conq on some extremely minor point regarding vig choices that don't really go anywhere, and then when Polaris replaces in, boom omgus lynch this guy plz. I'm like really whatever.