I think Bard was a bizarre night kill; scum!me would have shot Refa or basically any of the swing voters from NNR onto Rawr. So iirc that's Bard, Oarfish...and then Oarfish would have been seen as the designated scum mislynch in lylo, leaving Refa or Bard. Refa is basically conftown for his unnecessary hammer of scum so him not being hit in an absence of town docs means scum deliberately left him alive to hit Bard.
Considering you and SB are the only ones townreading me (uh, that I'm aware of), scum probably viewed me as a more viable mislynch (and honestly, as a matter of pride I'd prefer not to get townread on because of one action over my overall play anyways) over Bard. What really confuses me is why scum killed Bard over NNR, because I figured NNR was obvious town after Rawr countervoted him. The whole situation just makes me paranoid about the possibility of scum/scum wagons on D2, although hopefully that's just me reading way too deeply into scum's night kill choice.
The main issue I have with scum!Eli is that it means Eli attempted to start a new wagon when an NNR lynch seemed most likely, while Rawr was voting NNR. It would seem to me scum!Eli would have voted NNR instead of Sky. Not only did Eli not vote, she didn't list NNR as a viable lynch. That suggests to me that a scum!Eli was more concerned about getting pressure off of Rawr by making the lynch seem inaccessible than addressing the key issue of 'is NNR scummier than Rawr or not?'. Incidentally, that's the issue I raises when I said "Let's keep NNR over Rawr", and that earned me a vote from Eli.
Honestly, that's some bad play regardless of alignment (as either, he'd want his vote on an active wagon after the 24 hour mark), so I'm reading it as null.
Oarfish consolidates on Rawr but importantly fails to actually give any reason he thinks Rawr is scum. In fact he seems to subtly try to dissuade the wagon at deadline...or not so subtly.
The fomer isn't scummy; I pretty much did the exact same thing and it was purely for the purposes of consolidation (as you can tell, I was pretty conflicted on the slot as a whole). It's the latter that worries me more, because it comes across as him basically giving up on his scumbuddy rather than a townie pushing their reads.
We can rely on Refa, SB and Skypal to be active this phase, maybe BT as well, but I would really appreciate it if players such as Zak and Shadoweh got off the couch and posted some good content.
Hahahahaha, me being active this phase. Good one.
I don't really think I want to try to lynch O4rfish for his case on me, but I think Refa really needs more scrutiny than SB thought he deserved. It'd be really bad of him to just let the Dr.Rawr lynch go unfulfilled after saying he was there and would vote on it, and when Rawr inevitably flipped scum Refa would have been turbolynched.
Yeah, I don't really get why people would townread me for the hammer either haha. It's like, right conclusion, totally misguided thought process.
Oarfish/NNR tunneling each other is completely obnoxious. I'm more inclined to believe NNR because not only is he way more likely to be town (considering scum tried to counter wagon him and all), but his case is legit sheepable and he's ACTUALLY VOTING Oarfish (I cannot stress how important this is; Oarfish's posts imply a scumread on NNR and he's continuously discrediting the dude
without even voting him. The disconnect between his words and his actions is real) Not to mention the dude is literally trying to scumread everyone, which is at the very least bad play (it's more the way he's going about it that bothers me...not sure how to explain it exactly, it's more like his tone, what specifically is coming to mind here is his replies to Serela/BT saying that they weren't posting due to IRL concerns). The only problem here is that Oarfish/Elieson are most likely not scumbuddies, for reasons I pointed out earlier (go read Elie's LD1, or my post analyzing said content).
So I skimmed Zak's ISO and I'm not really bothered by him? His posts read as genuine (by this, I mean the few reads posts he does have), and really my only issue with him is his vote on Selery (which came out of nowhere). Also don't see why he'd make a lazy vote bussing his scumbuddy when he'd get barely any towncred for doing so. Like maybe I dismissed him too easily earlier on, but he's still not someone I'd be cool with lynching this phase.
After actually analyzing her posts, Shadoweh is probably town; basically I agree with most of her reads and more importantly, I can get the thought process behind them. Funnily enough, the only part I'm not so sure on is her current vote; she never really explained her reasoning behind it.. Care to do so now?
Elieson gets his own post for replies, lucky him!
