This theory needs a little modification near the end, since we know, with the new cds, that Maribel's powers are now strong enough to transport her and Renko to other worlds, so the trigger that turned her in to Yukari can't be that.
Yea, the base of the theory is sound, but more specifics are known now (like how it's a lot more gradual than I thought it'd be, and how Maribel reached a period where she could take Renko with her. It should be noted, however, that Maribel doesn't fully transport Renko with her. Both Maribel and Renko note that to Maribel, the worlds are reality while to Renko, it's more like a dream).
Eirin isn't a youkai, though, and Tewi's age is only vaguely implied to be really big.
But yeah, as far as we know, Yukari isn't particularly old among the "top tier" youkai in Gensokyo.
but who knows how far back in time Maribel ended up before turning into Yukari
maybe she even witnessed the birth of the oceans :getdown:
Yea, we know the earliest record of "the youkai that seems to be Yukari" in the past, but that's just the earliest record. It's possible she was around long before then.
Eirin's a lunarian, who generally don't age. Even youkai are stated to age, I believe (I forget where) but Lunarians generally don't due to lacking impurities (though they do have a teeeeny bit of impurity so maybe they age a liiiittle).
Tewi lives a long time because she maintained her good health! ...if this seems like it's a silly Touhou-esque no-common-sense hand-wave reason, that's probably because it is one. *shrug*
Meiling, if she was actually a Dragon, would probobly be stronger than she lets on. Personally I don't like that wagon *too* much, other than 'Hong' being like 'Long', which is Chinese for 'Dragon'.
Besides the dragon thing, Meiling is also known for having a rainbow theme, which is what the dragon was known for. I personally think it's mostly just symbollic but am open to the dragon possibility, if in part because I find it odd that the dragon hasn't been sighted for over a thousand years...
Yukari-Maribel is oozeing potential. I think it's unlikely Maribel IS Yukari, as they both exist at once, and at the very least, HM shows Yukari awake during the day, meaning Maribel would be asleep during the day. I think a relationship exists, but they are not one and the same.
Unless timey-wimey shenanigans. Always possible with Gaphax I guess. However, we also know Yukari's been alive for quite a while. My personal guess is Maribel is related to Yukari, but is not Yukari herself. We know Human-Youkai hybrids can exist, look at Rinnosuke.
The thing about Maribel's relatives is we KNOW the gist of her family line (well, at least, we know what she knows, I admit). Maribel specifically says that her ancestors have sought to be spirited away to another world and always had an interest in the occult. That she describes that as their goal implies that they never actually achieved that goal yet. Which means that, for Maribel to be a descendent of Yukari, Maribel's family history must have never found out about Yukari (and Maribel is... well, basically repeating or attempting to repeat what Yukari already did, which is kinda... I dunno, lame if you ask me). We also know that Maribel's family line goes waaaaaaay back, since she describes it as having existed since ancient times (or... something like that. I don't remember the exact wording). Which means that she has grandparents, great grandparents, great great grandparents, etc, all the way back to ancient times. Yukari, meanwhile, has been alive for over a thousand years and lived through many many generations. Therefore, unless Maribel's family history is one big fat lie, it's impossible for Maribel to be directly descended from Yukari because there isn't any room for grandparents throughout the ages since ancient times if it was Yukari that Maribel descended from.
Really, when it comes to deducing how Maribel is Yukari, Maribel being related to Yukari as a direct descendant is one of the few things we can 100% FACTually dismiss (well, assuming Maribel's family history is a fact and isn't a lie). There's simply no way for her to be directly related to Yukari while coming from a line of people that have been interested in the occult since ancient times.
The alternative is that Yukari is a descendant of Maribel, which requires timey-wimey shenanigans, anyways. I certainly can't rule out the possibility, but that seems to be adding an unnecessary step (Maribel going back in time with her border hax powers is one thing, but going back in time with her border hax powers and then having a kid or family line that inherited it and would eventually lead to Yukari is... well, another). Though I suppose that's just a matter of opinion on what's too convuluted and isn't. However, it seems to be at odd with the symbolism of Lafcadio Hearn (which ZUN confirmed symbolizes Yukari and Maribel's relationship). Lafcadio Hearn became Koizumi Yakumo and a well-respected "expert" of sorts on Japanese youkai, and Yukari is referred to as an expert on youkai in SoPM (and implied to be one in the author's comments in Memorizable Gensokyo, complete with author saying "*grin*" as if to imply that was meant to be a clue to something), but I'm unaware of any of his kids moving on to become known for works or knowledge on Japanese youkai. I could be wrong. Finding information on Lafcadio's kids is... difficult. They weren't nearly as famous for sure far as I can tell. At all.
I suppose another alternative is that Maribel isn't directly descended from Yukari, but instead is like, a distant thousandth+ cousin a hundred times removed or something like that. Which, again, while I can't deny the impossibility of such a thing, fits the whole Lafcadio Hearn symbolism (again confirmed by ZUN to have something to do with the relationship) even less.
Maribel doesn't really fit a half-youkai either. One of the things about Rinnosuke is he doesn't age (much). Maribel seems to be aging normally so far (or at least, to have AGED normally so far). If she or her relatives didn't age normally, someone probably would have noticed or brought it up by now (and Maribel does have relatives. She says to Renko, "I don't even have any relatives in Japan!", not "I don't even have any relatives!", implying she has relatives SOMEWHERE, but not in Japan). Rinnosuke also doesn't need to eat much, and is not attacked by youkai, presumably due to his half youkai status. Maribel meanwhile is almost as hungry as Yuyuko in her stories and is attacked by youkai all the time.
In fact, I've never seen the source that says Tewi is at least 1,300. As for the 'White Rabbit of Inaba'... I searched it, and it calls the tale the 'White Hare of Inaba', so, yeah, Tewi isn't a hare.
If I recall correctly, Tewi's comments in SSiB shows she knew Daikosuke (spelling could be wrong) personally. Which implies she was at least around when he was. Which was when the white hare was around.