It's the Analyze the Flip show, with your host, Barely Awake man! Everyone likes the Analyze the Flip show.
One thing that still puzzles me is... whatever the hell went on with PX yesterday.
Because he's more 30% scum. With BT's scum flip, he becomes 100% scum.
He could never put his suspicion to words, instead directly linking it to me bcos buddying. He was pretty much a sure lynch at that point, which makes it hard to believe he was still pushing for my lynch in hopes that it happens. It could be an attempt to trick people into thinking it was distancing, but I don't know how probable that is. Considering that he essentially went for HW scum only if BT scum, it's possible that what he was actually trying to do was distance himself from HW, and that would also explain the weird jump.
In that case, though, HW #545 is completely nonsensical. Town were onto PX on D2, suddenly they're off, buddy PX sets up future Shadoweh vote one post above,
obvious time to make a solid PX case. At the very least, he said he suspected PX and Kilga, so the reason his priority (PX over Kilga) wasn't flipped so that town continue to derp is nonexistent. It'd have to be a deliberate attempt to bus on D3 when a mislynch was super probable.
Regarding the post walls:
Kilga, stop watching detective shows :V
All in all, pretty good case on Shadoweh and much of it makes sense to me. Also, it reminded me of Case Closed and was a fun read :V
...
Shadoweh's response was likewise good, but Kilga's was better. Still need to check out people to see who are the scums.
This is that one post above. Oddly enough, he notes that I don't exist but the case magically shows up a bit later. Considering he was setting himself up for a Shadoweh vote, this is interesting, as he proceeds to call her town later. The other person with an off Shadoweh read is Kilga. At first he was pushing for a Shadoweh lynch. Then, he considers my being scum with PX, votes me, stays suspicious of Shadoweh and... PX is more or less uninteresting. His opinion on PX reappears at #593, at which point the PX lynch was well on its way and PX started doing whatever he felt like doing.
Arregggggghhhgggggg
Can't tell who is the other scum, it could be anybody but Omba. If anything, I'm leaning towards HuhWhat for the last scum, but that's only because of his buddying of BT and that's not concrete until BT flips.
And this is because...
I've come to the conclusion that Shadoweh/Kilga can't be scum, so the only one left who could is huhwhat. And I suppose NNR, but that is a very off crapshoot.
Because...
Shadoweh's case on Serela is too perfect. Koromo does not see scum Shadoweh pounding on Serela like that on D1 without noticing her scum buddy, and it caused everyone to get on Serela. Additionally, her Kilga defense are still great, and I just can't see her as scum at all.
You see where I'm going with this. The reason he cleared Shadoweh exists but not the reason he cleared Kilga. His connection to Kilga was minimal, only to state that he agrees with his cases. I don't recall him saying anything more during the rest of the game, too. Not that you're expected to treat your buddies all in the same way, but this is exactly how PX treated Serela.
Flips aside, "One scum between huhwhat/Shadoweh --> Shadoweh is scum --> BT scum actually makes sense with PX --> BT is scum, why aren't you voting the scum Shadoweh? --> Shadoweh still suspicious but not as much as BT" makes little sense if you suspected Shadoweh during all of this. Shadoweh successfully adopted your vote and, seeing as your Shadoweh suspicion has yet to be updated since ~569#, this didn't seem to raise any question marks whatsoever or change your mind. As it is, it could be revived at any given moment.
Together with my #586, this calls for a
##FABULOUS Kilgamayan.